Smalma:

Hmmm. I see on the chart where it shows the "gage height" in the years 1815, 1856, etc. up through 1922 showing above the 45' mark...then a clear change takes place.

I am not positive, but I believe the gage itself was placed in 1925. I don't see how they could get any accurate data prior to that time.

Last year, from what we heard, was the highest level (41.5') ever recorded on the Skagit at Concrete. I am sure they used some geological dating techniques to determine those other dates.

Not to discount Mother Nature, however...piss her off and there can be hell to pay. If they continue logging (moonscaping) as they have in the past there will be little watershed to hold it in the hills...I wonder what the conditions (timber, watershed, etc) were back in the late 1800's that gave them such high estimates?

Our back door sits at about the 60' mark...so I guess the potential does exist.

You in the Insurance biz, by chance?...:-))

Mike