Chehalis River ( to Fuller Hill Bridge) Above Fuller Hill it moves around on dates a bit.

Aug. 1-Sept. 15 Min. size 12”. Daily limit 6. Release adults.
Sept. 16-Oct. 31 Min. size 12”. Daily limit 6 including no more than 2
adults. Release adult Chinook.

Satsop River East Fork ( mainstem )
Oct. 1-Oct. 31 Min. size 12”. Daily limit 6 including no more than 2
adults. Release adult Chinook.
Nov. 1-Dec. 31 Min. size 12”. Daily limit 6 including no more than 1
adult. Release Chinook.

In the Zoom meeting it was mentioned on some changes on opening if I recall correctly. Like I said it was not a good presentation and some have said this hasty ZOOM meeting with little notice was intentional. You pick the reason.

You know with PP down it surprised me on how much information is made available to folks by it. Thanks Bob for getting it back up.

I agree, thanks.

https://www.nwrfc.noaa.gov/rfc/

Look at the flows for the Chehalis ( just hover over a dot it tells you what stream ) and I do not recall a year that the streams stayed around record lows as this one. Looking a the next three months forecast not much rain there for sure. Temp wise some hot stretches but averaged out it is that average. Likely going not going to be a good year for Coho and Steelhead in rearing areas. Ouch comes to mind.

Well I will be damned it is back!!! Must admit I miss checking in to see whats going on.

The flow thing is not getting better. Use the link and go to Porter and they say record lows by the 18th.

https://www.nwrfc.noaa.gov/rfc/

And this is still on the horizon!

https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/a-powerful-el-ni%C3%B1o-is-set-to-reshape-global-weather-in-2026/ar-AA22IxaX?ocid=hpmsn&cvid=69fe99dfa692486fb8702683ed5957b6&ei=18

A significant El Niño event is projected to emerge in mid-2026, with current forecasts indicating a high likelihood that it will reach "strong" or even "super" intensity by the end of the year. Meteorologists from NOAA and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) report that after a brief neutral phase following the fade of La Niña in early 2026, there is roughly a 61% to 80% chance of El Niño conditions developing between May and July 2026.

World Meteorological Organization WMO

Forecasted Strength and "Super El Niño"
While many models predict a standard strong event, several high-impact ensemble models from the ECMWF and other agencies suggest a "Super El Niño" could develop, defined by sea surface temperatures rising more than above average.

Severe Weather Europe

Intensity Probability: As of May 2026, there is roughly a 25% chance of a "very strong" event, with some models even hinting at record-breaking ocean warming exceeding

in eastern regions by autumn.
Historical Context: If a super event materializes, it would be only the fourth since 1950, comparable to the massive events of 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16.

Climate Prediction Center (.gov)

Expected Global Impacts

The arrival of a strong El Niño typically reshapes global weather patterns through the end of 2026 and into early 2027:
Record Heat: Scientists from Climate Central and Carbon Brief warn that 2026 could become the second-hottest year on record, with 2027 likely setting a new all-time high due to the delayed atmospheric response.

Hurricanes: El Niño typically suppresses Atlantic hurricane activity by increasing vertical wind shear, though it may supercharge storms in the Central and Eastern Pacific.

Regional Weather:

United States: Often brings wetter, stormier conditions to the Southern U.S. and California, while the Northern U.S. and Canada tend to be warmer and drier.

Asia & Australia: Increases the risk of severe drought and wildfires.
South America: Can trigger heavy rainfall and devastating flooding, particularly in Peru and Ecuador.

Really, another El Niño possibility after our past winter’s super flooded winter of La Niña !?

OTH, it’s only a 25% chance, so maybe we’re gonna be ok ?

With PP up and down I have not been able to track the story but this is another source.


The Brief

Forecasters say El Niño is likely to develop by summer, with a chance it could become a strong or "Super" event.
The pattern typically brings warmer, drier conditions to the Pacific Northwest, raising wildfire risk.

Existing drought and low snowpack in Washington and Oregon could worsen impacts, though spring rainfall may help mitigate conditions.
There are growing signals that the Pacific Ocean is shifting toward an El Niño pattern, and possibly a strong one. While this climate phenomenon originates thousands of miles away, its ripple effects could have real consequences for the Pacific Northwest, especially as we head toward wildfire season.

What is El Niño? Here's why it matters
El Niño is part of a naturally occurring climate cycle known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. During an El Niño phase, sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific become warmer than average. That added heat in the ocean influences atmospheric patterns around the globe.

We often see shifts in storm tracks, changes in temperature patterns and an increased likelihood of extreme weather events, from droughts to heavy rainfall, depending on location.

NOAA: El Niño likely developing in 2026
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, there is a strong chance El Niño conditions will develop between late spring and early summer.

Its latest outlook puts the probability of El Niño forming between May and July at 61%, with El Niño conditions likely to continue through the end of the year. There is also a range of possible intensities, including the potential for a strong or even "very strong" event.

You can view the latest outlook and more discussion here.

A possible "Super El Niño"
Some global climate models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, suggest ocean temperatures could climb significantly in the coming months.

A few scientists have even raised the possibility of an exceptionally strong event, sometimes referred to as a "Super El Niño." That is when the tropical sea surface temperatures rise at least 2 degrees Celsius (3.4 degrees Fahrenheit) above average. If it does reach that level, it could influence global temperatures, potentially pushing them toward record highs in the next couple of years.

What this means for the Pacific Northwest

Big picture view:
Historically, El Niño tends to bring warmer and drier conditions to the Pacific Northwest, especially during the winter and into the following spring and summer.

That pattern can have a cascading effect, bringing earlier snowmelt, reduced snowpack, and drier soils and vegetation. Those factors can significantly increase wildfire risk during the summer months and early fall.

This year, the region is already showing signs of vulnerability. Washington has declared a statewide drought emergency for the fourth consecutive year, with snowpack running well below normal in many areas. Oregon is facing similar concerns after a warmer-than-average winter and dismal snowpack.

For more on regional drought conditions, see the U.S. Drought Monitor.

Root for some spring rainfall
Despite the concerning forecast, there is still plenty of time for it to change.

One of the most important factors over the next several weeks will be rainfall. A wetter-than-normal spring could help delay drying and reduce early-season fire risk. On the flip side, continued dry conditions would reinforce wildfire concerns heading into summer.

The bottom line
All signs point toward El Niño developing in the coming months, but how strong it becomes remains to be seen.

For the Pacific Northwest, a warmer, drier pattern could increase wildfire risk, especially given existing drought conditions and low snowpack. Spring weather will play a critical role in shaping how the season unfolds.

The Source: Information in this story comes from various weather forecasting agencies and original reporting by the FOX 13 Seattle Weather T

Another look at the forecast.

Washington Post

Chances are rising that an El Niño expected to form soon could become one of the most powerful such events on record, according to new data released this week.

One of the strongest El Niño events on record may form this year, with cascading effects on global climate patterns. The coming conditions could have significant consequences for agriculture, health and the economy across the planet.

The latest outlook from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) shows water temperatures in a key region of the central equatorial Pacific Ocean potentially reaching 3 degrees Celsius (5.4 degrees Fahrenheit) above average late in the year. That could approach or even surpass the current records set in 1877 and 2015 and exceed the threshold for a super El Niño.

“Confidence is clearly shifting higher on potentially the biggest El Niño event since the 1870s,” wrote Paul Roundy, a professor of atmospheric science at the State University of New York at Albany. Records for El Niño began around 1850.