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#967721 - 11/09/16 01:23 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
Sky-Guy Offline
The Tide changed

Registered: 08/31/00
Posts: 7232
Loc: Everett
"The question is, how did the pollsters get it so wrong? Why was their sh!t so retarded?"


That's easy Hankster, but that's why I expect you still dont get it (lol) :poke:

Polls are perceived to sway public opinion, and that's why they frequently are skewed to reflect the desired outcome, versus the actual current figures. I think there is a school of thought, which I dont subscribe to, that believes that if the polls make it look likely that a certain outcome will occur, that you will have "bandwagon voters" jump aboard, or conversely, voter suppression because they think their vote wont matter.

This election result blows those campaign strategies out of the water, hopefully forever.

_________________________
You know something bad is going to happen when you hear..."Hey, hold my beer and watch this"

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#967723 - 11/09/16 01:35 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: ]
Sol Duc Offline
April Fool

Registered: 06/18/01
Posts: 16138
Originally Posted By: RICH G
Trump has to do what he said he will do.

Obongo care gone.

You don't work you don't eat.

Build a wall.

Deport the illegals.

No federal funding for sanctuary cities.

Apoint 2 or three conservitive justices.

Renegotiate the trade deals.

Bring industry and jobs hack to America.

If he does that people will see how much better America is, and do away with the progressive, NWO agenda for good....

Don't hold your breath.
_________________________
He who joyfully marches in rank and file has already earned my contempt. He has been given a large brain by mistake, since for him the spinal cord would suffice.

- Albert Einstein.

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#967724 - 11/09/16 01:35 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: ]
stlhdr1 Offline
BUCK NASTY!!

Registered: 01/26/00
Posts: 6424
Loc: Vancouver, WA
Originally Posted By: Hankster


Is the "silent voter" the reason? A sh!t ton of people lied to the pollsters because they didn't want to admit they were voting for T.Rump?



Bingo, look how all our friendly PP members piled on Rich for siding with Trump.. That's what America was doing, the ol' gang bang... I followed and nearly engaged many times through all these threads but sat back because it was apparent what was going to happen, ridicule and beat those that were thinking outside the broken box...

America also sat back watched and listened and most intelligent people sorted through the heaping piles of horse [Bleeeeep!], rather than follow the main stream media as the sheep they were and made an educated vote....

That simple... Quit over-thinking it...

Keith
_________________________
It's time to put the red rubber nose away, clown seasons over.


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#967725 - 11/09/16 01:43 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: Sol Duc]
Sol Duc Offline
April Fool

Registered: 06/18/01
Posts: 16138
The gun shop owners of this country are disappointed smile
_________________________
He who joyfully marches in rank and file has already earned my contempt. He has been given a large brain by mistake, since for him the spinal cord would suffice.

- Albert Einstein.

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#967727 - 11/09/16 01:44 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: Sol Duc]
stlhdr1 Offline
BUCK NASTY!!

Registered: 01/26/00
Posts: 6424
Loc: Vancouver, WA
Originally Posted By: Sol Duc
The gun shop owners of this country are disappointed smile


Yeah but I'm sure whine/alcohol sales are up...

Keith rofl
_________________________
It's time to put the red rubber nose away, clown seasons over.


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#967728 - 11/09/16 01:46 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
Sky-Guy Offline
The Tide changed

Registered: 08/31/00
Posts: 7232
Loc: Everett
Broken Clocks are right twice a day Hankster.

Good-quality polls MAY give an accurate sense of where a political race is at a point in time, but they don’t predict the future. Its now clear that the most criticized Poll, that from the LA times, proved to be the most accurate in the last 120 days.

Nate Silver is a sellout establishment buffoon. Smart guy, but He uses his status, or he is used, for political influence rather than independantly reporting facts.

I crunch big data at work, and its almost always easy to find numbers to support your desired conclusions.

_________________________
You know something bad is going to happen when you hear..."Hey, hold my beer and watch this"

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#967732 - 11/09/16 02:06 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
WDFW X 1 = 0 Offline
My Area code makes me cooler than you

Registered: 01/27/15
Posts: 4549
"Today is the day where reality crashes in, but something tells me you will do your best to keep it out.

Trump gets mashed, and tomorrow announces his new cable "news" show, which was the whole point of this publicity stunt all along, and his imbecilic sycophants will buy up the snake oil like PT's fools.

What a bunch of idiots.

Fish on..."

Todd


smile

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#967735 - 11/09/16 02:15 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
willametteriveroutlaw Offline
Spawner

Registered: 10/26/02
Posts: 918
Loc: Idaho
Hope you deplorables are happy, you just kicked a black man and his family out of public housing and replaced him with a billionaire.
_________________________
Facts don't care about your feelings..

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#967739 - 11/09/16 03:01 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
BroodBuster Offline
River Nutrients

Registered: 07/11/04
Posts: 3113
Loc: Bothell, Wa
How did the pollsters get both Brexit and POTUS votes so wrong?

For me it's pretty simple. Group think. When no one you've ever met or hang out with is pro Brexit or pro Trump your poll is going to ignore or, at least, alienate those folks.

Hats off to Rich for seeing thru the fog. Extremely difficult to stand on a hill yelling, "The king has no clothes" while the masses are gathered around commenting on what a beautiful (birthday) suit the king is wearing!!!
_________________________
"Government does not solve problems; it subsidizes them." Ronald Reagan

"The trouble with Socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money." Margaret Thatcher.

"How fortunate for governments that the people they administer don't think." Adolf Hitler

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#967740 - 11/09/16 03:06 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
RICH G
Unregistered


I didn't mind having people beat me down, call me terrible names and telling me to kill myself every time I checked the dark side. It was worth it and I knew I was right anyways.

Based on my personal experience with government curruption I knew Trump was telling the truth, and it was even worse than he was saying. I felt I could help his cause here by maybe informing people of things they might not have known about. I made people think a little more than maybe they would have, and consider things maybe they wouldn't of.

I knew that the actors on this BB were mostly ultra progressive liberal which would make for some really nasty and dirty threads between me and them, the kind of threads that were both entertaining and educational, which alot of lurkers would follow.

I set out here on the dark side to help fix this country, I feel obligated because I've seen how bad it is and people need to know about it so they can make informed decisions. You might say it was a waste of time because probably only a few hundred individuals saw it but I don't think so, I think it probably did some good and I had a good time.

I tried for a while on Facebook but you end up losing to many friends and family over this stuff.

And for the progressive liberals on this BB I mentioned above, you were a necessary component, we could not have done it without you....


Edited by RICH G (11/09/16 03:13 PM)

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#967745 - 11/09/16 03:17 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
RICH G
Unregistered


Bigfoot and Gnomes are real!!

I consulted the Gnome Council on all of this, it was not without their approval.

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#967746 - 11/09/16 03:19 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: ]
Sky-Guy Offline
The Tide changed

Registered: 08/31/00
Posts: 7232
Loc: Everett
Originally Posted By: Hankster
Originally Posted By: Sky-Guy
Broken Clocks are right twice a day Hankster.

Good-quality polls MAY give an accurate sense of where a political race is at a point in time, but they don’t predict the future. Its now clear that the most criticized Poll, that from the LA times, proved to be the most accurate in the last 120 days.

Nate Silver is a sellout establishment buffoon. Smart guy, but He uses his status, or he is used, for political influence rather than independantly reporting facts.

I crunch big data at work, and its almost always easy to find numbers to support your desired conclusions.


As much as you and Todd pal around together, how is it you couldn't convince him of that?


We rarely discuss politics. We fish.
_________________________
You know something bad is going to happen when you hear..."Hey, hold my beer and watch this"

Top
#967749 - 11/09/16 03:21 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
RowVsWade Offline
River Nutrients

Registered: 11/08/06
Posts: 3405
Loc: Island Time
Originally Posted By: Todd
No matter how many say they are going to vote, it always ends up being a lot less than that, anyway...I bet 55% or so actually send in or go fill out a ballot.

Sol Dunce, look up current poll numbers...there are multiple sources, they are on this thing called the internet. You will find that Trump is getting his ass handed to him still, and that it's gotten worse the last few days since the debate, they were virtually tied before, now he's lost about 3 or 4 points all around...and he is losing in every swing state, especially the ones you cited.

Try to not sound so stupid all the time...I know that's a big ask for you, and I have little faith that you can do it, but give it a shot.

Fish on...

Todd
_________________________
"...the pool hall I loved as a kid is now a 7-11..."

If you don't like our prices bring your wife down and we'll dicker.

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#967750 - 11/09/16 03:24 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
RowVsWade Offline
River Nutrients

Registered: 11/08/06
Posts: 3405
Loc: Island Time
Originally Posted By: Todd
Trump is not up in Colorado. Or Pennsylvania, or Florida.

And he has to win all of those to even have a snowball's chance.

Not unexpectedly, Clinton's numbers are on a steady increase after destroying Trump in the debate on Monday.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Fish on...

Todd
_________________________
"...the pool hall I loved as a kid is now a 7-11..."

If you don't like our prices bring your wife down and we'll dicker.

Top
#967766 - 11/09/16 07:12 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: ]
Timber Offline
River Nutrients

Registered: 05/27/00
Posts: 2558
Loc: Stumpy Acres
Originally Posted By: Hankster
Originally Posted By: Timber
Originally Posted By: Todd
Some more predictions:

Popular vote...Hillary will beat Donald about 49-44, maybe 48-45.



Hmmmmm

In all fairness to Todd, Billary is ahead in the popular vote by around 210K. I didn't do the Common Core math on his percentages, but I'll give him his due on that one.

My guesstimate on the popular vote was wrong.


He is having his wrists stitched up...... He'll be back....
_________________________
If ya can't run with the big dogs stay on the porch!


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#967779 - 11/09/16 08:23 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
Brewer Offline
2112

Registered: 01/11/07
Posts: 4996
Loc: in the mass production zone
When a guy spends as much time daily gargling up yellow belly libtard opinions as todd~mod does. I'd say those wrists are thoroughly cut after the blood bath Trump laid out yesterday.
_________________________

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#967783 - 11/09/16 08:52 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
NickD90 Offline
Shooting Instructor for hire

Registered: 10/26/10
Posts: 7260
Loc: Snohomish, WA
"Not the victory but the action; Not the goal but the game; In the deed the glory."
_________________________
“If the military were fighting for our freedom, they would be storming Capitol Hill”. – FleaFlickr02

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#967784 - 11/09/16 09:08 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: The Trumpster]
5 * General Evo Offline
Lord of the Chums

Registered: 03/29/14
Posts: 6829
grab America by the pussy, get this sh!t over with....
_________________________
BLM IS A TERRORIST ORGANIZATION
ANTIFA IS A TERRORIST ORGANIZATION


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#967787 - 11/09/16 09:15 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: ]
fish4brains Offline
Dah Rivah Stinkah Pink Mastah

Registered: 08/23/06
Posts: 6868
Loc: zipper
USA! USA! USA! USA! USA! USA!
_________________________
...
Propping up an obsolete fishing industry at the expense of sound fisheries management is irresponsible. -Sg



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#967788 - 11/09/16 09:16 PM Re: Official ELECTION DAY THREAD ((((((((())))))))))) [Re: ]
Brewer Offline
2112

Registered: 01/11/07
Posts: 4996
Loc: in the mass production zone
Originally Posted By: Hankster
Todd's probably still down at the protest organizing things. Giving legal advice and stuff.


rofl woot
_________________________

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