The Baker system appears likely to remain productive for the foreseeable future. If ocean survival rates are reasonable, I expect to see good returns as well. Smolt to adult survival rates have been as high as 12%, but we know better than to expect that to be the long-term norm. Even at 5% we will have very good returns. When it drops to 2%, maybe not so much. What is easy to lose track of is that 2% is just as normal as 12% in the grand scheme of things.