To answer some of your questions here is what I know from years past and talking with some bio friends of mine.
1. The water is very high and much cooler than normal so that will delay the great big pushes of fish.
2. Alot of bio's are saying they are running late because of the current conditions.
3. I would not be suprised to see a great big push of fish around the middle or latter part of may like what happend a few years back.
4. Also The commercials did hammer the **** out of the early fish in the lower river. I am sure they took many more than they reported which is the norm for those douche bags.
5. keep your fingers crossed, and I will see you on the wind!!!!!!!!!!

Peace Superfly