FF,

Sorry to report, but a miscalculation is not a bureaucratic blunder. It is a statistical certainty. With a good model, 50% of all estimates are over-estimates, and 50% are under-estimates of runsize. If you want greater certainty, you'll have to accept greater general restrictions, either in seasons, areas, or gear, or something that keeps the harvest below the low end of the confidence interval of the point estimate.

Sincerely,

Salmo g.