Guys,

Great discussion and input for this topic: Chum, endangered on the Skagit? http://www.piscatorialpursuits.com/ubb/ultimatebb.php?ubb=get_topic;f=1;t=017720

Smalma - I have one more questions. I did some math with then numbers you provided.




Now, I do not have the actual escapement numbers for the years, so I used the target numbers you provided. I also understand there may be significant variation. I calclulated the average estimated harvest compared to the escapement is: Sport 1.84%, commercial/tribal 19.90%. The numbers forecasted for 2004 were derived from the data of previous years, they are purely speculation.

Also, you stated, “The three average was 12.77% of the harvest occurred in the river sport fishery.” I don’t buy this number. It was calculated with out any deviation. The 22.76% sport harvest (which is way off from the standard deviation) is a result of a low commercial/tribal harvest. Not an over harvest by sport fisherman. Besides that, it doesn't represent the harvest in relation to the escapement.

Now, with this data maybe you could give me an explanation to the benefits of closing the Skagit to the sport harvest of chums.


Thanks,

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