The failure does appear to be based on districts in tight races rather than straight affliation. Since Bush has screwed everything up for the Republicans, they are in much more trouble, hence the higher no vote. What bothers me is that there was almost a 14% swing in the market yesterday, up in the morning and then down heavily in the evening. If someone had knowledge that the vote wouldn't go, how much could they have made? With the market back up 300 points more money is being made and lost by people. Who is being this active in this market? I hope it is all on the up and up, but the potential for huge money is so big I start to get a bit skeptical at times.