Originally Posted By: Kanektok Kid
Originally Posted By: StinkingWaters
If the current course is continued then foreign creditors will run for the door and there will be a currency crisis almost overnight.


On the contrary, given this is a GLOBAL situation, and there are, right now in Europe, an AIG type meltdown in progress, complete with counterparties and the whole nine yards, the Greece issue, and more. The head of the IMF and several other economists are seeing a 'flight to quality' emerging, and that of course means..............short term US Treasury bills. Tey are expecting demand for those notes to begin to increase in the very short term, as they are still the most risk free investment available on the world market.................. grin ...............not to mention the dollar gains against the Euro, primarily due to Euro problems related to their own underlying credit problems. This isn't a business cycle recession, and no one seriously discussing thinks so.

rofl



Indeed KK this is a global situation but you citing a "flight to quality" is temporary at best. Do you really think foreign buyers of short term T-bonds are going to be satisfied with the debt being payed back with more debt? Pray tell, how long do you think this ponzi scheme is going to last?

China has already been absent from some of the latest treasury auctions. As well as Russia and India. Instead they have opted to buy gold reserves. To boot, China is encouraging their citizens to invest their savings in gold. The Fed can't supply demand for T-bonds indefinately and their game is easily spotted if you taken a look at the latest audit figures.

So the dollar temporarily gains againt the Euro. Which ironically is in trouble for many of the same reasons the dollar is in trouble, only much worse. That doesn't elude the fact that America's current debt crisis is unsustainable at it's current pace. So there is a temporary flight to quality in US T-bonds. When Europe straightens out their crisis and that capital flows back into their domestic markets, then what? An enormous spike in interest rates circa ealry 80's and an unmanagable debt load to go with it.

If you're counting on world-wide collapse to rectify the spending habits of our federal government in a "flight to quality" you are sadly mistaken.
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On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.