You got rocks in your brain? That was a terrible analogy.

More like a slot machine that hits a jackpot every 5,000 pulls over the course of the last 100,000 pulls.

You want to examine the data of the last 5,000 pulls and exclude all other historical data. When the jackpot strikes on pull 5,000 there you are to say "see!! the statistics are rising!!!"

Who's being "willfully ignorant" now?


Edited by StinkingWaters (09/16/10 07:43 PM)
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On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.