Ive been picking up details about these polls.

They often over sample democrats from 3-12 percent more and they also do it, on individual voter blocks. One recent poll counted the same percentage of black votes in the poll as obama got in 08. He isnt likely to get the same level of turnout and he is likely going to get fewer total votes this time.

Most of the polls are registered voters, until the last couple weeks, when accuracy counts.
Likely voters are more accurate, because enthusiasm counts.
Some polls were so bad, they actually increased the vote totals from O8 based on the poll.
Daily track polls can be three days or up to five days. That can affect how the bounce is counted.
What you dont see is the undecided. The undecided breaks for the challenger by large margins. The percentage of undecided can vary from state to state.

When you look at right track wrong track, it favors Romney.
In most cases, Obama cant hit 50%
Romney voters are more enthused
Then you have issues like Obamacare, which over 50% perhaps 60% want repealed.
No president has won relection without getting more votes than in the first election. Bush added 11.6 million votes in 04.
No president has won re-election with UE over 7.9 or 8%
Obama keeps going back to some states he locked up easily. Why?

Obama won 52.9 to about 46% about 7%. Lose 4% in the rights states and the election is tight but goes the other way.

Time will tell.