I find it interesting that the predicted marine survival rates for Central Puget Sound stocks are higher than those predicted for the coastal stocks. Considering all the talk about the rampant predation that occurs on Puget Sound smolts in the Sound and the Strait, it seems curious, to say the least.

Also interesting how a very small estimating error for that datum, in either direction, could be the difference between overfishing a weak run and underfishing a relatively healthy one.

I think predicting the weather is more reliable than these salmon forecasts, and that's a perilous way to manage a dwindling resource.