Chehalis coho likely to be in the penalty box given last years dismal return and probable escapement failure. In this scenario, the state has less than 1700 wild coho impacts to target hatchery coho and chum. OTOH if we we actually squeaked past the escapement goal in 2017, there are about 2500 wild coho to target or use as impact to access hatch coho and chum.
...
I'll retract the penalty box comment as I mis-read the slide in the WDFW Powerpoint.... no danger of penalty even if we probably missed the 2017 e-goal (which is highly likely).
So think about how 3 sectors can possibly share those ~2500 coho.... commercial nets, rec, Chehalis Tribal nets.
Our last major pre-season coho shortfall was 2016. We crafted conservative seasons where the bay guys would eventually take <400 and the inriver guys 1800 (total ~2200 rec) in a year that saw the rec fishery close prematurely. State nets took <300. Chehalis Tribe reported <900. Total NON-treaty (NON-QIN) harvest was ~3400 wild coho plus another 400 wild coho taken for hatchery brood.... or roughly 10% NON-treaty impact on the total run size of 35K.
Gonna have to really sharpen our pencils to make 2018 fisheries fit.
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