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#457952 - 10/05/08 08:24 PM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: Todd]
Krijack Offline
Returning Adult

Registered: 06/03/06
Posts: 415
Loc: Tacoma
You ask what I am scared of? It's the same thing that made me nervous after 9-11 and watching Bush get what ever he wanted. I was against the war then, at least for the reasons he was giving (still not sure if Iran or Israel had more to do with it). I was laughed at by almost everyone I knew who felt we had to go, mostly because they were willing to give Bush anything he wanted. Specifically I am nervous that
1. He will have the Congress backing to introduce more social programs and raise taxes (remember Carter had a 90% tax on the top end and it was killing our economy).

2. That he will be able to get who ever he wants into the Supreme Court.

3. That he will be able to usurp more of our national security to the UN.

4. That he will be able to use tax laws to stifle religious freedom more (specifically by insisting that certain values are prejudical or political, such as believing homosexuality or abortion is wrong. Already you risk loosing your tax exemption just by having a candidate speak, even if the opposing view is invited to speak but won't.),

5. Increase labor laws to the point of socialism. Maybe by raising the minimum wage, giving more power to the unions, trying to insist on equal pay for jobs that are considered equal, more sick leave, more benefits, more job protection, more vacation, forced profit sharing, better or earlier retirement, or other worker rights over employer rights,

6. Strength unions beyond what is necessary.

7. And last, who knows, with that much power, almost anything is possible. He may be able to accomplish what Bush hasn't. Another terroristic attack and he may be able to get more gun laws in effect. Restrict speach more. Lock up more people without questioning. It is clear most Americans are willing to sacrifice liberty for safety, something I am not.

As I have said before, much of what Bush did scares me. I hated it then. With Obama we have someone with the same powers and more popularity and blind following. It would scare me no matter who it was, conservative or liberal. I guess I am more libertarian then I would like to admit, but I hate government having any unnecessary power in my life. In the end, I probably would be less nervous if congress was republican. But as it is, he could even have a super majority. Maybe he really is clean and will not sell us out. He hasn't convinced me of that yet, rather he seems to be as much as a political opportunist as the rest. Bush gave away the bank with very little public support, what could he give away.

And, for clarification, I really haven't heard him layout any real plans. Saying that you will overhaul the Health care system or save social security, without any details, is not a plan, its just rhetoric. Something all the Candidates are good at.

Ron Paul, well, if it is a given that Obama will win, he very well may get my vote. If he could win, he would get my vote. If it is close I may hold my nose and vote for McCain. The truth is, in the beginning Obama may have gotten my vote. The more he talked and the more people started bowing down and worshipping him, the more I decided I didn't want to take the chance of what his idea of change meant. If he comes in and does what Clinton did, I probably will vote him another term.

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#457958 - 10/05/08 08:57 PM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: Krijack]
Kanektok Kid Online   sleepy
River Nutrients

Registered: 10/12/03
Posts: 4418
Loc: undisclosed location
It won't be close in Washington, Obama will win this state as it stands today, and unlikely to change at this point.

A vote for Ron Paul is a vote for a libertarian form form of conservatism, while a vote for McCain't is a vote for continuation of the very Bush policies you described above, the ones you said you don't like.

I don't like them either, that's why I will be voting for Obama.

In your bullet point list, it seems like there an awful lot of 'maybe', 'might', 'could' , while some of the other points are so without foundation as to be purely speculative in nature.

That would be like me saying if McCain't wins I would be afraid that we'd have a manchurian candidate for President who was mentally unstable from prolonged periods of 'enhanced interrogation techniques', and would likely fill key positions with poorly qualified idealogues, while staffing the administration with lobbyists from his campaign staff. Beholdent to the same interests that funded and ran Bush's campign, he would be directed to continue the policies of the last eight years, further bankrupting the government while transferring billions in taxpayer dollars to the corporations who off shore jobs, bank accounts, and tax liability, all the while with a taxpayer subsidy for doing so.


Well, so maybe I should look for an example that was a little further from the truth for it to be a fair comparison with you post............. grin

After all, nothing in my 'description' of a McCain't presidency is fabricated from whole cloth.

Face it, you think Obama is a 'boogeyman', the 'Socialist Muslim'......... grin
_________________________
No Threat to Fish




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#457974 - 10/06/08 12:32 AM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: Kanektok Kid]
Krijack Offline
Returning Adult

Registered: 06/03/06
Posts: 415
Loc: Tacoma
KK,
Those are all good things to worry that McCain may do. I know those are the things that I worry about. I just hope that if he is elected a democratic majority in both houses can keep him in check better than they did Bush.

I am not scared of the boogy man, but yes, I do think he is a socialist at heart. Did you hear his bit about how unfair it was that a waitress had to work so hard for so little money? I guess he thinks that it is up to the government to increase her wages. But to what? It kind of reminds me of the teachers union pointing out that a teacher has as much or more schooling than a engineer, so they should get paid the same or more. Who cares if it takes a 3.9 gpa to get into the electrial engineering program at UW and a 2.0 to get into the teaching program.

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#458051 - 10/06/08 12:57 PM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: Krijack]
stever in everett Offline
Spawner

Registered: 03/17/99
Posts: 771
Loc: Everett, WA USA
Latest numbers and they don't look good for McCAin / Palin. The "MAVERICKS"
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
_________________________
"Even if you are on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there." Will Rogers

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#458096 - 10/06/08 06:25 PM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: stever in everett]
John Lee Hookum Offline
Three Time Spawner

Registered: 10/12/01
Posts: 1777
Loc: Area 51
http://politicalwire.com/

October 06, 2008

WCU/NPR Poll: Obama Ahead By Ten In Pennsylvania
Political Wire got an advance look at a new West Chester University/NPR poll in Pennsylvania that shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 52% to 42%, in the key battleground state.


2 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008


A Limited Town Hall
Lynn Sweet previews the rules for Tuesday night's town hall presidential debate moderated by NBC's Tom Brokaw.

The questions will "be culled from a group of 100 to 150 uncommitted likely voters in the audience and another one-third to come via the Internet." Gallup "has the job of making sure the questioners reflect the demographic makeup of the nation."

"An audience member will not be allowed to switch questions. Under the deal, the moderator may not ask followups or make comments. The person who asks the question will not be allowed a follow-up either, and his or her microphone will be turned off after the question is read. A camera shot will only be shown of the person asking -- not reacting."

"While there will be director's chairs (with backs and foot rests), McCain and Obama will be allowed to stand -- but they can't roam past their 'designated area' to be marked on the stage. McCain and Obama are not supposed to ask each other direct questions."


6 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

Fox/Rasmussen: Obama Gains in Key Swing States
The latest batch of Fox News/Rasmussen swing state polls shows that Sen. Barack Obama has made significant gains in Colorado, Missouri and Florida. In Ohio and Virginia, there was little change from the week before.

Florida: Obama 52%, McCain 45%

Colorado: Obama 51%, McCain 45%

Missouri: Obama 50%, McCain 47%

Virginia: Obama 50%, McCain 48%

Ohio: McCain 48%, McCain 47%


5 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

The Clinton Charisma
The Clinton Charisma: A Legacy of Leadership In the mail: The Clinton Charisma by Donald T. Phillips, author of the bestselling Lincoln on Leadership.

The book is "a fascinating, prescriptive guide that reveals the former president's complex leadership techniques, including his attention to public opinion, his ability to take quick corrective action, and his efficient damage control in the face of political and personal difficulty. From diversity to decisiveness, from consensus to compromise, each chapter explores how Clinton employed important leadership principles and the ways in which they were -- or were not -- effective."


0 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

WP/ABC Poll: Obama Leads By Six in Ohio
Sen. Barack Obama "is riding economic discontent to an advantage in Ohio, bolstered in part by financially stressed voters in the state's hard-hit industrial belt," according to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll.

Obama leads Sen. John McCain, 51% to 45%, in the key swing state.


5 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

WSJ/NBC Poll: Obama Widens National Lead
A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds that independent voters are starting to swing behind Sen. Barack Obama, "who continue to benefits from economic turmoil and the public response to their debate performances."

Obama now leads Sen. John McCain by six points, 49% to 43%, up from just two points in the same poll two weeks ago.

Update: Interestingly, though most recent national polls show Obama increasing his lead, the latest CBS News poll has the race closer with Obama just edging McCain, 48% to 45%.


3 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

CNN Poll: Obama Expands National Lead
The latest CNN/Opinion Research survey shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain nationally by eight points, 53% to 45%.

Key finding: "Low approval numbers for the current commander-in-chief may be part of the reason Obama's fortunes are rising in the latest survey: Only 24% of those polled approve of President Bush's job performance, an all-time low for a CNN survey... And that's bad news for McCain, because the poll suggests a growing number of Americans believe the Republican nominee would have the same policies as the current GOP president. Fifty-six percent say McCain's policies would be the same as Bush's, up from 50% a month ago."


55 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

Martin Closes In On Senate Seat
There are now two polls in Georgia that show Jim Martin (D) has chance to knock off Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA), a Senate seat once thought completely safe.

SurveyUSA: Chambliss 46%, Martin 44%

Research 2000: Chambliss 45%, Martin 44%


21 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

PPP Poll: Obama Expands Lead in North Carolina
A new Public Policy Polling survey in North Carolina finds Sen. Barack Obama now leading Sen. John McCain, 50% to 44%.

For the first time, "Obama is earning over 80% of the vote from self identified Democrats, and that's fueling a four point increase in his lead in the state compared to last week. He now has an 82% to 15% lead with voters in his own party. His share of the Democratic vote had been anywhere between 69% and 76% in PPP's previous five surveys of the state."

Interesting: Obama's numbers rise every time he makes a visit to the state. McCain hasn't visited in five months.


44 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

Democracy Corps: Obama Up By Six in Ohio
A new Democracy Corps poll in Ohio finds Sen. Barack Obama now leading Sen. John McCain, 49% to 43%.

Obama's lead is built "on an impressive 48% to 35% edge among independent voters. McCain's attempt to seize the mantle of change is falling on deaf ears in Ohio as by 24%, voters in the Buckeye state believe Obama, not McCain, is the reformer and by 18%, Ohioans believe Obama will bring the right kind of change. And in a state where the economy is king, Obama's aggressive positioning of the economic contrast with McCain has produced an 11-point Obama lead on which candidate will do a better job on the economy."


43 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

Suffolk Poll: Obama Crushing McCain in Virginia
A new Suffolk University poll in Virginia shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by a stunning 12 points, 51% to 39%.

Said pollster David Paleologos: "Barack Obama has built a coalition of suburban DC area progressives from the north, African-American voters from the south, and young voters statewide. That broad-based support suggests a 44-year Republican run in the Old Dominion State, dating back to Lyndon Johnson's victory in 1964, is in jeopardy."

Key finding: "The poll shows last Thursday's vice presidential debate was a net plus for the Democratic ticket. Exactly three-quarters (75%) of likely voters watched and scored Joe Biden (46%) the clear winner over Sarah Palin (26%), while 20% said neither won the debate. When asked if the debate affected their presidential selection, 32% said it made them more likely to vote Obama, while 18% said the debate moved them to McCain, and 47% said the debate didn't affect their decision."

Earlier today, a SurveyUSA poll also showed Obama with a double-digit lead in Virginia.


64 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

SurveyUSA: Obama Way Ahead in New Hampshire
A new SurveyUSA poll in New Hampshire finds Sen. Barack Obama leading by an astonishing 13 points, 53% to 40%.

A little history: "New Hampshire voted Republican in 1968, 1972, 1976, 1980, 1984, 1988 and 2000. New Hampshire voted Democrat in 1992, 1996 and 2004, but no Democrat running for President in New Hampshire has received more than 50% of the vote in the past 44 years."

Key findings: Obama holds a 22-point advantage among women, 29-point advantage among young voters, 21-point advantage among Moderates, 18-point advantage among those who consider themselves an intellectual, 24-point advantage among lower-income voters, and 23-point advantage among college graduates.


20 Comments | Share | October 06, 2008

SurveyUSA: Obama Pulls Away in Virginia
A new SurveyUSA poll in Virginia shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by ten points, 53% to 43%.

Since a similar poll conducted just after the Republican convention, McCain has gone from up by 2 to down by 10.

Key finding: McCain no longer leads in any region of the state.

http://politicalwire.com/
_________________________

Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of
Truth and Knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter
of the gods.

-- Albert Einstein



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#458276 - 10/07/08 11:00 AM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: John Lee Hookum]
stever in everett Offline
Spawner

Registered: 03/17/99
Posts: 771
Loc: Everett, WA USA
New numbers are putting McCain/ Palin in the dust. Sorry Dogfish and Dan S. Ron Paul didn't make the poll.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
The new negative adds McCain's campaing are running aren't helping and in fact are hurting among undecided voters. What else does the old man have if he has to resort to negative adds?
http://www.swamppolitics.com/news/politics/blog/2008/10/mccain_once_opposed_negative_a.html
_________________________
"Even if you are on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there." Will Rogers

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#458280 - 10/07/08 11:21 AM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: stever in everett]
Kanektok Kid Online   sleepy
River Nutrients

Registered: 10/12/03
Posts: 4418
Loc: undisclosed location


No doubt some of the wingnuts here can read, and when they read this, they tend to get more irrational. It's a trend on most of the political boards I frequent, and also most of the fishing boards. Deperate attacks designed to rally the knuckle dragging base don't really work on undecideds, but that's the last and only tool McCain't has in his tool box. On every issue, he's on the wrong side, as far as most Americans view it.

What you are watching, if any of you are watching, is the last gasps of the Neo Con wing of the Republican Party, an inevitable turn of events,.
What little dignity 'The Gelding' has left he is throwing out the window in his as far failed attempt to win an election.

He comes up for re-election in 2010, where he will lose in Arizona.

As a matter of fact, the Republicans have another slew of loser incumbents who come up that year, and so look for them to lose even more seats, if Obama has anything close to a 50% or above approval rating come 2010.
_________________________
No Threat to Fish




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#458282 - 10/07/08 11:24 AM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: stever in everett]
Dan S. Online   content
River Nutrients

Registered: 03/07/99
Posts: 5544
Loc: SE Olympia, WA
Quote:
Sorry Dogfish and Dan S. Ron Paul didn't make the poll.


Didn't figure he would.......but that's ok. I never listened to Michael Jackson, never drove a Ford Escort, and never watched American Idol, so I've never been one to be part of the majority of Americans.

Ron Paul 2008
_________________________
So lock up your daughter, lock up your wife, lock up your back door and run for your life...........

Bon Scott, TNT

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#458285 - 10/07/08 11:46 AM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: Dan S.]
stever in everett Offline
Spawner

Registered: 03/17/99
Posts: 771
Loc: Everett, WA USA
Projections have it at 345 for Obama and 193 for McCain. Let us see what happens after a week of negative adds if the numbers move in the old mans favor.
_________________________
"Even if you are on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there." Will Rogers

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#458288 - 10/07/08 11:58 AM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: Krijack]
Irie Offline
Carcass

Registered: 11/26/06
Posts: 2336
Loc: Olympia
Originally Posted By: Krijack
1. He will have the Congress backing to introduce more social programs and raise taxes.

2. That he will be able to get who ever he wants into the Supreme Court.

3. That he will be able to usurp more of our national security to the UN.

4. That he will be able to use tax laws to stifle religious freedom more (specifically by insisting that certain values are prejudical or political, such as believing homosexuality or abortion is wrong. Already you risk loosing your tax exemption just by having a candidate speak, even if the opposing view is invited to speak but won't.),

5. Increase labor laws to the point of socialism. Maybe by raising the minimum wage, giving more power to the unions, trying to insist on equal pay for jobs that are considered equal, more sick leave, more benefits, more job protection, more vacation, forced profit sharing, better or earlier retirement, or other worker rights over employer rights,

6. Strength unions beyond what is necessary.


That's the platform I'm looking for in any candidate.

If chuches want to get into politics, they should start paying taxes on those Escalades the preachers drive and those 100 acre Mega Churches with 600,000 congregants charged 10% to 15% of their annual income.

Unions mean middle class incomes, healthcare, and freedom from wage-slavery. I guess you prefer outsourcing. Outsourcing needs to stop--now.

Supreme Court? We dont need more Scalias or his lil bitch-puppet Thomas.

The UN was nice because it kept aggressive a$$hole wanna-be dictators from invading nations on trumped-up excuses just to plunder their natural resources. Sound familiar? How has the UN usurped our national security? Please explain.

I didnt know Kraft had a new flavor of Kool-Aid called "John Birch Berry Fruity."
_________________________
My new sig line.

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#458300 - 10/07/08 12:27 PM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: Irie]
Hankster Offline
Spawner

Registered: 01/24/07
Posts: 829
Loc: San Francisco,CA
New social programs and higher taxes are not going to fly in this economy. Can't afford the social programs and taxing your way to prosperity has never worked.

Thomas and Scalia both voted against the taking of private property for developers.

The U.N. has done a fantastic job in Somalia, has stopped Iran dead in it's tracks in atomic weapons production and has excelled in every area where it has exerted it's influence. Yeah right.

Churches and politics? Just ask the Reverend Jeremiah who is moving into a multi-million dollar home. Throw Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton into the mix and you've got some fine makings for religious freedom and very questionable tax obligations.
_________________________
"Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of Congress....but I repeat myself."
Mark Twain

For those who understand, no explanation is needed.
For those who do not understand, no explanation is possible.



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#459161 - 10/10/08 04:13 PM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: Hankster]
Todd Offline
River Nutrients

Registered: 03/08/99
Posts: 7402
Loc: Seattle, Washington USA
One of the two battleground states leaning towards McCain't...+1 in OH in the above list...is now polling at +3, and moving, for Obama.

McSame still has to win virtually every battleground state, and with the exception of Georgia, is unlikely to win any of them.

It's all over but the right wing whining.

Fish on...

Todd
_________________________


Team "Drift Boat Veterans for Truth"

http://www.rvrfshr.com

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#459211 - 10/10/08 07:34 PM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: Todd]
nookie dreamin' Offline
Spawner

Registered: 06/04/02
Posts: 946
Loc: Everwet
Lets just for a minute pretend Obammy loses..what happens next?
rioting the likes we haven't seen since Rodney King. As with the OJ murder trial, he got off only beacause of what a conviction would have caused. So Obammy is going to win it by threat of total anarchy should he lose.
_________________________
Present
AKA Knuckledragger

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#459229 - 10/10/08 08:17 PM Re: Projected Electoral College votes [Re: nookie dreamin']
Todd Offline
River Nutrients

Registered: 03/08/99
Posts: 7402
Loc: Seattle, Washington USA
Public opinion, 2nd grade level math, and logic say it just ain't gonna happen.

He's going to win because he had has a significantly higher public opinion.

Fish on...

Todd
_________________________


Team "Drift Boat Veterans for Truth"

http://www.rvrfshr.com

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