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#989130 - 05/14/18 03:21 PM Sports Betting
stonefish Offline
King of the Beach

Registered: 12/11/02
Posts: 5207
Loc: Carkeek Park
Now that the Supreme Court has ruled on this, do you think the state of Washington will do?
Take advantage of this for themselves or squander the opportunity and give it away to other groups that already monopolize state gaming?
SF

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.com...ourt/index.html
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#989147 - 05/14/18 08:10 PM Re: Sports Betting [Re: stonefish]
NickD90 Offline
Shooting Instructor for hire

Registered: 10/26/10
Posts: 7260
Loc: Snohomish, WA
Man...the tribes have got to be jumping for joy.

I don't officially bet on sports any longer but I'm seriously thinking about coming out of retirement if Washington decides to play ball.

On a side note, here's a pretty easy way to make $10 grand or whatever. I used to do this back in the 90's before they sent all books offshore (and I don't do Vegas).

Here's the play:
The first 2 weekends of college football are anyone's guess really. It's seriously like Christmas morning for free money BUT you must do your pre-season homework (the interwebz makes that easy). Those first two weeks are when REALLY GOOD teams play REALLY bad non-conference opponents and almost nobody knows what each of the teams are working with. Ohio State v. Northwest Popcorn state if you will. OSU is going to win, but by how much?

Only bet on the super obvious mismatches and never on a game that has any doubt. Look for home games with top teams that are returning a minimum of 3/5 o-linemen and a QB with at least some previous playing time and also had a good team turnover margin from the previous season. This team is a team that is going to consistently put the ball in the endzone all game long. Bet the game over, 1st or 2nd half over. Parlay more or less that same bet with 3 - 6 other games, put down $500 and proceed to collect money. There are variations on the bet. If you know a team had a slow fall or is really talented, but doesn't start fast - then pick the second half over while they get warmed up in the first half. It's the start of the season, so the rust needs to come off. How many times have we seen a top team only up a score or two at halftime and then puts up 45 in a 2nd half walk away? About 43 times every Saturday.

Make this bet for exactly the first two weekends of the season and then stop! By week 3, Vegas has figured all of the teams out and the lines are solid. Christmas day has past until the following season.

I can have these (2) bets researched & planned out with maybe 2 - 3 hours total research over the summer. Then all you have to do is note team updates during fall camp. If the stud QB breaks his leg, scratch that team off your list.

Shhhhh....and your welcome. Name your new boat after me.


Edited by NickD90 (05/14/18 10:18 PM)
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#989148 - 05/14/18 08:20 PM Re: Sports Betting [Re: stonefish]
Jason Beezuz Offline
My Waders are Moist

Registered: 11/20/08
Posts: 3440
Loc: PNW
Thanks Nick! I like sports betting but only have done it to make a game more fun. I am intruiged by plays like yours.
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#989158 - 05/14/18 10:14 PM Re: Sports Betting [Re: stonefish]
NickD90 Offline
Shooting Instructor for hire

Registered: 10/26/10
Posts: 7260
Loc: Snohomish, WA
Sure - no problem! I don't make any other official bets. Ever. Just these two single bets over two weeks of the year. No other football, baseball, bball - nothing. The bookies have it down cold and anything better than 60% lifetime win % is legendary. I.e. you ARE going lose lifetime on those sports unless you are exceptional.

Think about it. In the NFL and MLB, every single player and metric is hyper studied to the nth degree and they return as players year after year. The lines reflect that knowledge. Knowledge is king and unless it's literally your day job, you don't and won't have what it takes to consistently beat Vegas. EXCEPT for those magical two weeks when college ball rosters turn over with fresh faced 18 year old kids. It's over by week 3. Vegas knows by then.

It actually should be illegal to bet on these games until the first rankings come out in October. It's stupid easy, but I've never complained.


Edited by NickD90 (05/14/18 10:17 PM)
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#989160 - 05/15/18 12:52 AM Re: Sports Betting [Re: stonefish]
larryb Offline
The Rainman

Registered: 03/05/01
Posts: 2347
Loc: elma washington
you do know that Washington
is the only state that doesn't allow online poker for money
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#989313 - 05/17/18 01:51 PM Re: Sports Betting [Re: stonefish]
5 * General Evo Offline
Lord of the Chums

Registered: 03/29/14
Posts: 6829
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