Conventional wisdom says that if the run is later than expected, it's also going to be smaller than expected too. The pre-season run size prediction was 360K. It probably won't be quite that large but 300K is possible, perhaps likely. That's not outside the range of variability given the uncertainties associated with predicting run size strength a year before it shows up.

BTW - I took a walk at Frenchman's Bar last evening. There were three springers on the bank and another native that was released. There were about 6-7 anglers. It had been slow until around 7:00pm. All four fish were landed within a half an hour. That's springer fishing.....!