I can "trust" they are tanking doesnt sit well with me. I know they arent doing "well" in regards to historical levels but at least in the last 10-15 years of fishing this river, the previous 2 years have been much more productive for me and some of my fishing partners than the previous 10+. Hook and line surveys arent used as part of this study unfortunately.

I would like to know what the confidence intervals for the predictions made by the WDFW are??? anyone care to provide that? are we talking junk science levels?

As stated last spring the flows were unusually high and turbid from March until the 2nd week of June. Floaters arent going to be able to spot too many redds in these conditions. Cross checking from the air alot of good that does with no vis. Still a huge varation in accuracy. Some of the areas fish spawn in the upper green are not necessarily shallow tail outs and surveying is difficult to say the least in low/clear water conditions let alone more turbid high water. Combine those less than favorable surveying conditions and i can see why the escapement was low.