Originally Posted By: eyeFISH
Originally Posted By: SBD


Got over 149K past the wall. Technical folks are now projecting a total run-size between 310K and 370K.

310K to 370K really means 340K +/- 9%.

Seems pretty reasonable to me seeing as we've counted about midway thru the run-size. We'll certainly know better by next week.

We've got 149K past the dam plus another 30K harvested before the dam. 149 + 30 = 179K.

Double 179K means a total run-size estimate in the neighborhood of 358K.

So.....

The 40%-buffered runsize of 280K is clearly in the bag.

The NON-treaty harvest impact threshold runsize of 326K is exceedingly likely to be satisfied. (Yes, ODFW/WDFW were clearly counting their chickens before they hatched when they allowed the rec fishery to exceed the pre-season guideline... an arrogant and dangerous conceit, I must concede.)

So let's get this all straight....

The LCR commercial objective was satisfied....
The LCR rec objectives for a full predictable season were satisfied....
The upriver users are prosecuting the season they were promised....

AND the entry pattern of upriver spring chinook shows that there are enough fish (most likely with a few to spare) to fund all of the NON-treaty impacts already expended. Is anyone really still upset at this stage of the game?

Come on folks.... don't worry... be happy....


All looking good......

But.....................................................

What about future spilling in the CR?

Keith thumbs
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It's time to put the red rubber nose away, clown seasons over.