I'll give ya part of all that DB... but there's one glaring flaw to your analysis.
Romney cannot seem to get above 25% with Republican primary voters... no matter who implodes or how much he panders.
So... if he can only convince 25% of his OWN party faithful to vote for him... how's he gonna convince all the Democrats and independents... especially with all of the sucking up to the Tea Party that he's been doing as of late.
Face it my friend... another Obama term is lookin' pretty inevitable right about now.
There's a small problem there in that analysis: There hasn't been a primary yet, those are all poll numbers and they don't mean a thing. If they did, we would have had a Clinton/Guianni match up 3 years ago. Last time around, Guianni was the guy to beat, then there was Fred Thompson, Huckabee got hot and in the end it was McCain. BTW, he doesn't have to convince the Dems of anything, they aren't gonna vote him in anyway. He just has to get the R's and the Ind, which won't be too hard since the economy will still be in the tank 12 months from now since no one in DC has a clue about how to turn it loose in the first place. BTW, that betting site that KK likes has Obama at 50/50 to get re-elected.