Gentlemen,
Perhaps, your subsequent comments to my post above reflect the fact that you either missed my point, or failed to make the implied extrapolations. How's this for a dot....

An _________ sub launches a tactical nuclear missile at Iran. The missile is detected by Iran and the incoming missile is redirected at Tel Aviv, or the launching sub, or....

Perhaps, if true, the Iranians issued a very loud shot across someone's bow that was unheard by most....