WC - I tried unsuccessfully for the permit. Was fishing with Bob on Sunday (the application deadline), and by the time I got back to my computer they apparently had pulled the permit option (or at least I couldn't find it on the site). I called the WDFW on Monday, and they couldn't explain it.

Anyway, no way to tell your odds, since this is the first year and we don't know how many people applied for each permit. But there were 1500 permits for deer, and 500 for elk. The guy I spoke with at WDFW said they had 450 applications on Sunday. But if everyone else is like me and waited to the last minute, 450 applications for 2000 total permits doesn't seem like that many.