RottenChum/Ondarvr -

I was merely reporting on what the current forecasts were (it actually supports the notion that the return is not expected to be large) and further how that forecast is generated.

The fry abundance method was adopted in the mid-1990s after comparing how that accuracy of that method compared to other methods using a 30 year data base and comparing side by side forecasts using alternate methods. It generally preformed better than other methods because it included a look one step closer to the adult returns than other methods.

I'm curious given your extensive knowledge of Snohomish chums what would be a more valid method of forecasting the basin chum runs and how that would improve the management of the population and the fisheries it supports.

Curt