Curt

I have only the observations of how accurate and efficient the run estimates have been over the last 50+ years that I have lived on Lake Washington, on the water on Camano Isl, and now on the Sky. I have witnessed tremendous increases and decreases in run sizes and only after the fact did the professional managers create theories as to what happened and why. Most of these ups and downs caught those that are paid to study and manage these things by complete surprise, then when the exact same scenario plays out again they are surprised once more.

Frequently a tremendous amount of the information can only be acquired by actually being on location and observing what actually transpires before during and after the fishery, looking at numbers and statistics only helps if you have a good knowledge base to work with.

I am not a paid professional in this field, nor do I claim to know more than those that are, only that I have some pieces of the puzzle that seem to be unknown or have been overlooked in the past.