I'm wondering if anyone in this group knows the answer to this:

Do we know if there's any ongoing work by the fisheries managers/salmon technical team on what went wrong with the coho model this year? You'd think, given the overall impact of this years predictions, this would be an area the bios are intensely interested in improving.

Full disclosure, i work in a field where we used very complicated models to inform big $ decision making, and a I know there's always a bunch of stuff "under the hood" that really only the scientific/technical experts really understand.

It seems there should be some pretty intense review of the model inputs/assumptions that led to this year's coho prediction numbers being so low; maybe some sensitivity analysis, etc. In the field of modeling, it can be somewhat surprising that an input, can be greatly influential on the final output. And if that input is known with less certainty... there can be huge uncertainty in the output.