And this is still on the horizon!
https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/a-powerful-el-ni%C3%B1o-is-set-to-reshape-global-weather-in-2026/ar-AA22IxaX?ocid=hpmsn&cvid=69fe99dfa692486fb8702683ed5957b6&ei=18
A significant El Niño event is projected to emerge in mid-2026, with current forecasts indicating a high likelihood that it will reach "strong" or even "super" intensity by the end of the year. Meteorologists from NOAA and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) report that after a brief neutral phase following the fade of La Niña in early 2026, there is roughly a 61% to 80% chance of El Niño conditions developing between May and July 2026.
World Meteorological Organization WMO
Forecasted Strength and "Super El Niño"
While many models predict a standard strong event, several high-impact ensemble models from the ECMWF and other agencies suggest a "Super El Niño" could develop, defined by sea surface temperatures rising more than above average.
Severe Weather Europe
Intensity Probability: As of May 2026, there is roughly a 25% chance of a "very strong" event, with some models even hinting at record-breaking ocean warming exceeding
in eastern regions by autumn.
Historical Context: If a super event materializes, it would be only the fourth since 1950, comparable to the massive events of 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16.
Climate Prediction Center (.gov)
Expected Global Impacts
The arrival of a strong El Niño typically reshapes global weather patterns through the end of 2026 and into early 2027:
Record Heat: Scientists from Climate Central and Carbon Brief warn that 2026 could become the second-hottest year on record, with 2027 likely setting a new all-time high due to the delayed atmospheric response.
Hurricanes: El Niño typically suppresses Atlantic hurricane activity by increasing vertical wind shear, though it may supercharge storms in the Central and Eastern Pacific.
Regional Weather:
United States: Often brings wetter, stormier conditions to the Southern U.S. and California, while the Northern U.S. and Canada tend to be warmer and drier.
Asia & Australia: Increases the risk of severe drought and wildfires.
South America: Can trigger heavy rainfall and devastating flooding, particularly in Peru and Ecuador.
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Dazed and confused.............the fog is closing in