there was a guy here on the washougal this summer... who was slaying the summers on the pw. the baitshop said it rather odd because the water was low and clear. the guy was buying the largest gaudy worms the store sold. this guy had total confidence in something that should have scared the steelhead out of the drift! he put a wack and stack on them low clear summers.

so yes confidence equates out big in this scenario.