Right on.

Why did I ask that?

Lets say you got drawn for a tag last year and the odds were 1 in 10 or %10. Lets assume you apply for the same tag this year and the odds are again 1 in 10.

What are your odds of getting drawn for the second time in a row?

%10 -- 1 in 10 or
%1 -- 1 in 100 or
%5 -- 1 in 20 or
%20 -- 2 in 10 or
...
Something else?
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I'm a great believer in luck, and I find the harder I work, the more I have of it. Thomas Jefferson.