Quote:
Does anyone see a trend developing? If you run the model backward to predict run size the Coho run would be about 24% of the forcasted 211,419 total Chehalis Coho.

The Chinook harvest is in about the same condition indicating that the run size is less than the escapement goal again.



Quote:
But as SoftBite said, my own experience on the water tells me the coho forecast is WAY off. The more than 1/4 million projected for the entire basin should have made rods bend virtually NON-stop through the trolling day all week...well at least enough to keep almost any chinook from latching onto the gear. That is certainly NOT the case. That bumper crop of coho is a resounding NO SHOW!



The co-managers have historically resisted in-season mgt here. Maybe it's time to try.

If the run forecast really is this far off and the net schedule (brutal) remains as is, it sure does speak volumes to the true intentions of those making the call.