I think Krijack is right about drop-out. I've heard that term thrown around in meetings about Willapa Bay. The commercials always argued the rates were estimated too high. Almost inconceivably (or predictably), the recs always argued they were too low. Polarizing factors like this, all too often, lead management to treat them as red herrings, for the sake of getting on with the business of dividing the pie.

Pinnipeds and other predators also make a nice scapegoat when escapement comes up short, so it may serve the co-managers better to consider their take AFTER the fact.

Either way, I think this is being considered in allocation, even if it's not being given sufficient impacts.