I think it will be a lot close then expected. Inslee won 52% of the vote, with various candidates taking the other 48%. Most of these will likely vote republican. This would lean the election to Inslee, if the same percentages hold up. What is interesting, though, is that King County, voting primarily Republican, had a 55% turn out, where as Spokane county had around 49%. Pierce County, which is more middle of the road then King County only has Inslee at around 44% of the total vote. It also had a lower percentage turn out, with Approx 52% turn out. Again, Thurston county, which gave around 50 % to Inslee, had a much higher percentage turn out than the counties that went against Inslee. I still give the numbers to Inslee, but it does not appear to be sure thing.