Aunty,

Could you go in to some detail about how that "share will increase in order to catch more hatchery fish?"

The shares don't really have to change at all for sport fishing to suffer. If commercial gear is more selective, and can catch 5,000 chinook in a 24 hour opening instead of 1,000 for a given number of ESA encounters, the sport fishing upstream of that point is going to be less successful, regardless of what the "share" is.

More of the evil hatchery fish can be harvested, but if the commercial harvest increases significantly, then regardless of shares, the sport fishing will occur with fewer fish in the river, and sport fishing success is positively correlated with salmon abundance. Increased commercial harvest means lower fish abundance, which translates directly into lower sport harvest per unit of effort. I don't see how it can be calculated any other way.

Sg