As of Nov 11 the commercial salmon harvest in Grays Harbor area 2A/2D is nearly over except for the late QIN schedule. When the total commercial harvest is compared to the model it would appear that the Chinook run size prediction was spot on and the actual chum and coho run sizes were only 75% of the plan.
If this estimate is correct then the Chinook, coho, and chum run sizes were only 5-10% above the escapement goal. The commercial harvest alone will likely cause all three to fail to make escapement. This would suggest that there should have been little or no harvest this year by any group. What a sad situation.