One of the problems with forecasts, or updates, is how you evaluate them. "on average", they should average whatever the real run was. But, if the PSF can be off by 50K in each direction that averages spot-on but is rather useless for actually hitting escapement or catch.

Rather than looking at how well the forecast performed the real question is how ell did management perform? The season starts with a PSF, a catch estimate, and an escapement goal. How close were those to the numbers?
When I was in the mess, if you hit the escapement, management was successful. If not, it wasn't. Next, did you make allocations, which were I/NI. or US/Canada. Then, did you get the internal allocations right? Each level builds on success but the measure is performance, not forecasts.