Well day one rain was a bust for sure with 24 hr totals all around .02 and .01 with the upper basin and Olympic sides similar. The Satsop went up a few CFS but nothing to write home about. Next few days it looks like flows will drop back to about where they have been. The rains continue but it is 24th or 25th that the Satsop will begin a gradual increase and achieve average flows around November 1st.

https://www.nwrfc.noaa.gov/rfc/

Looking at the QIN and NT Commercial numbers it is clear that the large movement of fish was the vast majority of the October fish. Good inland but sure leaves a void in tidewater. The commercial catch numbers have tailed down day by day which validates that line of thinking. The question is where are the Chum? Modeled last week commercial harvest is normally equal Chum and Coho with this next week being two to one Chum over Coho. Chinook numbers are very low as normally they have cleared tidewater.

Lacking a hard bump up in flows it is anyone's guess as to what the fish movement will look like. The NT commercials fish three days starting Monday so that should give us some answers. Sooner or later as flows increase something will happen to be sure as the Chum always move by the first week of November. They bring with them Coho (normally) but it has been a strange year so who knows.