The disparity between forecasts would be alarming were the numbers 200K and 270K. With the numbers being what they are, these forecasts more or less prove that this business of forecasting returns to set seasons ranks high among the factors directly responsible for the ongoing decline.
At 29K, nobody's fishing. At 129K, everyone's fishing... until the numbers don't materialize, the sporties get shut down again, and the fish take another deadly blow.