Ok the preseason Willapa next but this one is rather complex as Willapa is on the aggregate. Keep in mind these are numbers before ocean harvest.

Chinook:
Escapenet Goal: W 4350 H 3525 Forecast: W 2914 H 28271

Coho:
Escapement Goal: W 13600 H 6100 Forecast: W 17850 H 51785

Chum:
Escapement Goal: 35400 Forecast: W 38845 H 959

In looking at the numbers it is best to break out Willapa into North & South ares. So North ( which is Willapa River / Forks Cr hatchery ) Chinook are W 1973 H 1845. In a nutshell the Tokeland based fisheries will be very limited.

Now the Southern end of the bay will have W 941 H 26426 and the wild escapement required is 2377. This means prior to harvest the run forecast 40% of needs. Not Good!

North looks poor but not superbad. Now down South Nemah is not a Coho player but Naselle is something different. Escapement Goal Naselle / Bear is W 1500 supporting H 42479 and that does not compute for harvest.




Edited by Rivrguy (02/29/20 11:27 AM)
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Dazed and confused.............the fog is closing in