If you put a gun to my head my sense is that the run timing (to the bay at Tokeland) was about normal; However remember I'm just a angler who visits Willapa for maybe 6 days a season. I would expect the total hatchery return to be at or a bit below forecast levels. I do expect that the final hatchery return will be closer to the forecast than 1/2 of the forecast. For the wild run I expect that it be at or a bit above forecast levels.
I agree that crow is not a good meal but experience (have had way too much) has shown that lots of ketchup helps some. However rather than crow that we share a lunch with the loser treating!