The thing is for Grays Harbor the only method of judging actual run size in season is the QIN fishery and NT commercial. This only works if the fish migrate within the historical time frame. Rec reports fish everywhere mean zero as most Recs just don't have the ability to see the whole picture but rather just where they fish. Fish come in early, stage up low in the stream, fish come in late go like a bat out of hell up stream just so many variables to factor in. The one constant is the QIN fisheries and if numbers do not show by the time the NT commercial go in and again fail the river is shut down.

This driven by the fact that we make Coho escapement with the Nov fish that come with the rain. Front of run fails remove harvest from the later fish in Nov and Dec which almost always works. Chinook are all over the board but it is more about the run front loading. Earlier they head upstream the better the run does.