Another look at the forecast and the El Nino thing is something to be concerned about. 25% chance of a super El Nino is bad because even if it does not happen and we get just an average one thibgs will get ugly for many things but fish will really get nailed! With our states record on dealing with dry summers and fires I would bet TV news will be busy!

Washington Post

Chances are rising that an El Niño expected to form soon could become one of the most powerful such events on record, according to new data released this week.

One of the strongest El Niño events on record may form this year, with cascading effects on global climate patterns. The coming conditions could have significant consequences for agriculture, health and the economy across the planet.

The latest outlook from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) shows water temperatures in a key region of the central equatorial Pacific Ocean potentially reaching 3 degrees Celsius (5.4 degrees Fahrenheit) above average late in the year. That could approach or even surpass the current records set in 1877 and 2015 and exceed the threshold for a super El Niño.

“Confidence is clearly shifting higher on potentially the biggest El Niño event since the 1870s,” wrote Paul Roundy, a professor of atmospheric science at the State University of New York at Albany. Records for El Niño began around 1850.